STEAM GROUP
BigRed's Bets Big Bets
STEAM GROUP
BigRed's Bets Big Bets
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16 October, 2014
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English
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Australia 
26 Comments
Millions of Peaches 6 Nov, 2014 @ 12:38am 
I think you're doing wonderfully. It's also really awesome that you consistently update with in depth thoughts. I find it very important to be able to follow your thought process when I place my bets.:csgoct:
BigRedYo 30 Oct, 2014 @ 1:57pm 
Admittedly today was a dissapointment for many, I expected an upset, but not 3 total. The consistentcy was absolute ♥♥♥♥ for teams, some (LDLC *Cough* not performing up to their level, and VP being on & off today. There's a TON OF GAMES to gamble on tomorrow... so... Yea. Lets see what happens. I'll try to make a list but thats another 12 game day or so- And some of the matchups are legit 50-50's at the moment.

As usual, I'll try my best to give advice, however I can't anticipate as many upsets as today had. My apologies for any lost skins.

Resetting Win Count to 1 (LDLC vs C9), otherwise Combo Breakerrrr! (Highest win streak 22 with a few skips).

Should update later for Day 2.
BigRedYo 28 Oct, 2014 @ 2:15pm 
Just wanted to let you all know I'm still around. I'm watching lounge for any decent matchups worth gambling on- I admittedly don't waste time or risk gambling on random country or low Tier matchups as they're incredibly inconsistent. Right now Lounge is about 50% Wins/50% Loss for recent favored teams on these, so I don't intend on offering any advice in cast of upsets on these random teams (Hey, lets squeeze an entire country into 5 players) sort of deal.

If I see any games noteworthy, I'll have an update out ASAP, and will try to spread the word via those who seem to be using my articles for references.

As a group we were roughly on a 22 win streak with 4-5 skipped games. I advised everyone to skip the C9/VP & Dig/IBP day as upsets were everywhere, and I couldn't have been anymore right, though LDLC losing was disappointing to EVERYONE.

Shoot me a message otherwise if you have any questions. Thanks.
BigRedYo 25 Oct, 2014 @ 8:22am 
Confirmed: The second IBP vs Dig game was a throw. This tournament is based on round wins. The second match of IBP vs Dig was just mentioned by a caster interviewing the IBP player about the game, and how the team "Stopped caring" after the 4th or so round to make it in to the Semi-Finals. Hence a deliberate throw on the second game vs Dignitas, although it seems they still half assed it. (When they switched out, IBP was standing still asking should we even continue basically, as again, round based, not map wins).
BigRedYo 25 Oct, 2014 @ 7:30am 
I'm done for a minute here. All I can say is below in the gyazo link. My faith in humanity is legit shaken. I wish I could say that seemed staged but ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. Triple Overtime in the first map, and just some incredible plays... The casters themselves were speechless, and couldnt even make proper sentences at points because they were just blown away.

18 streak combo breaker for LDLC, I thought watching unicorns die in LDLC vs Fnatic games was bad... I've never in my entire life seen something like this before. Nobody has. This was like a literal clash of the fking titans.

http://gyazo.com/0af72cd789b4bf7730e2994550334e76
BigRedYo 25 Oct, 2014 @ 7:29am 
I admittedly advised those who asked to pick LDLC to which I genuinely apologize, but this was like seeing a shooting star while getting both struck by lightning and attacked by a shark at the same time chance. Absolutely no way in hell did anyone expect these results.

As a group, I still consider us at 22 Win streak as I advised most to skip or use their discretion on today (though I eventually updated the thread because it became cluttered and haywire after matches started ending)... But seriously. Even I'll admit I'm floored. No words, and I'm sure this is a huge upset to the CS:GO community in general. I'm sure people following larger sites gambled max amount ($240) on multiple accounts. This was a massive loss for all.
BigRedYo 25 Oct, 2014 @ 7:19am 
I'm done for a minute here. All I can say is below in the gyazo link. My faith in humanity is legit shaken. I wish I could say that seemed staged but ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. Triple Overtime in the first map, and just some incredible plays... The casters themselves were speechless, and couldnt even make proper sentences at points because they were just blown away.

18 streak combo breaker, I thought watching unicorns die in LDLC vs Fnatic games was bad... I've never in my entire life seen something like this before. Nobody has.

http://gyazo.com/0af72cd789b4bf7730e2994550334e76

BigRedYo 24 Oct, 2014 @ 10:56pm 
I updated the Day Two Matchups. I will be betting low if not pennies on VP for free wins assuming all goes well- Not much room for profit on many of these matchups.

22 for 22, 5 skips, I'd rather not risk your skins today, this is your own day to pick and choose based on any other advice or statistics, upsets can be possible between any team if Dust 2 is chosen so careful on these matchups guys.

IBP admittedly came out of the blue, and seem to be putting up a stronger fight then people originally believed for the odds given on them. Be aware this is a possible upset 50-50 game already, map TBD makes it even riskier. 10/10 Risk level.

Best of luck, and I'll update soon with more matchups.
BigRedYo 24 Oct, 2014 @ 9:33am 
Results from todays 10-24, not including the remaining two Fnatic vs IBP games. (IBP is playing somewhat decent admittedly against Fnatic on Inferno at the moment... Can't promise anything but assuming Fnatic will still win, bets are placed anyways).

Enjoy!

http://gyazo.com/b8ae16a7f2f937b786bce23c36b9379e

This brings the win streak to 20 (again, not including the remaining two possible Fnatic wins for a possible 22 streak.) I hope you're all reaping the benefits and making some decent skins

-Red.
BigRedYo 23 Oct, 2014 @ 3:52pm 
Hey guys, I understand there's only a short period of time left to bet on these games, however I don't feel comfortable advising anyone on these at the moment as my judgement is slightly skewed, I'm tired, and (seriously) I just had to deal with a multiple car collision due to someone going nuts via Road Rage.

Please note: All these games are best of ONE. Not 3 as before, hence why the risk is WAY HIGHER for many of these. LDLC is reknowned for losing its first map against teams, then turning around for wins such as Fnatic recently.I'll try to make a quick half assed attempt as some upsets may be possible. This is SERIOUSLY BY NO MEANS a guide to gamble on, but since its 12 matches, I can't go into details, just make my best guess, as depending on how the map is chosen, it could seriously effect the outcome of the game depending on teams playing. These are overall assumptions. in the update. I'm just going to say it now, Risk Level 10/10. Anything can happen in a Bo1.
BigRedYo 23 Oct, 2014 @ 6:20am 
Oh ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. I guess its not reposts... These are all legitamately placed games. They're all Best of 1 so this is balls of steel level gambling. 12 Matches... Thats a lot to explain, but I'll do my best later if this is correct. I just don't understand why multiple teams are playing the same matchups, but there may be an underdog bet as well that we could feel semi-safe on dependent on gameplay. I'll update as much as I can during the matchups as some teams play the same ones... Otherwise.. This is the freaking Gauntlet boys. Let's do it. 14 Win streak, 4 skips (though I FINALLY won a personal bet on an underdog team \o/ ). I intend on going for 12-12 which would be ♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥♥. Impressive.

Again, Best of luck to you all who join me in my endevours. May you make some nice :dollars::dollars:!
BigRedYo 23 Oct, 2014 @ 6:01am 
I'm actually going to give CS Lounge a bit here as I can't tell what's going on at the moment. It seems as if they reposted the same games from a certain point, a total of 6 which is a hell of a lot easier to work with assuming thats the case. I'd wait until putting any gambles up to make sure this is cleared up as bots will most likely take skins at the moment only to return them for you to have to gamble all over again. Updates coming later.
BigRedYo 22 Oct, 2014 @ 5:26pm 
Regarding Betting & DDOS Attacks:

Recently it has been occuring in almost every game, not allowing many games to be played unless offline, nor allow teams to play to their full expectations.

Some are finished, some aren't. For instance VP vs Dig went through, in additiion to LDLC vs Fnatic (LDLC Won apparently after being left at 1 map down, and 6 rounds in on Inferno). On the other hand, Na'Vi vs Titan bets were returned today as the game was closed due to the DDOS, proving DDOS still can prevail and that betting this week is only going to be huge risks as there doesn't seem to be any signs of stopping soon. It could've been an attack for either team, so I couldn't guess who was favored- I'm assuming they just wanted Returns.

CW vs HR was previously matched up, and was delayed for multiple days already... I wouldn't be surprised if it happened again tomorrow, honestly. Short update to come- Red.
BigRedYo 22 Oct, 2014 @ 5:22am 
If you feel you NEED to gamble on this LDLC vs Fnatic matchup bet at your discretion. I can't give a full evaluation on this one otherwise. I'm split on this matchup just as much as any gambling website is. (Gosugamers 56% in favor of Fnatic, HLTV 56% in favor of LDLC). There's absolutely no safe bet in my opinion.

I guess if I was backed into a corner and told to pick one or the other right now? I'd have to go LDLC, would have to say 2-1 win unless Fnatics changed their strategies up. Good luck if you go for it. Na'Vi vs Titan alone is already a hard matchup due to some other factors still.

As I said before, don't gamble this week if you have a weak stomach or are feint of heart, most matches will be 50-50/ HIGH RISK BETS as it's Fragbite Finals. I cannot guarantee anything at the moment on these current matches, though I'll give my best damn advice on them for you all.
BigRedYo 22 Oct, 2014 @ 5:11am 
I would recommend a skip.

They're basically what most people expected to be in the Finals (LDLC vs Fnatic matchup).

LDLC showed weakness against Na'Vi (3-2), but apparently Na'Vi are pretty strong on LAN games. LDLC already beat (2-1) Fnatic in their previous matchup, even taking Fnatic on their best map- Inferno. People expect Fnatic to bring their full A+ game and take advantage of this as they see a chance to break LDLC's win streak.

I can't give any real advice otherwise as it's an incredibly high risk game, and there is no potential guarantee for a safe bet. (Coin flip odds at the moment). LDLC statistically should be my gamble, however the possibility of Fnatic having time to reflect on the game and build a new strategy is quite strong, so I think it will come down to the last map and some very serious knife/pistol rounds. I wouldn't touch this game if you don't have a strong stomach, this is basically two teams fighting for #1 in the world.
atlas 21 Oct, 2014 @ 11:06pm 
BigRedYo 20 Oct, 2014 @ 5:41pm 
Correction, you all dodged a bullet*, lol.
BigRedYo 20 Oct, 2014 @ 5:40pm 
I've only heard of 1 member possibly gambling on the Virtus Pro vs Dignitas game today, of course as usual I had to place a personal bet due to the statistics as it would make sure I got up and watched the game for you all. ($4 loss, painful game to watch after the first map). I will be including this in the Skipped matches as it seems we dodged a bullet. This leaves us at14 for 14 still, 3 skips- including this next Dig vs VP so 4 tomorrow.

There's an update on HR vs CW & VP vs Dignitas, but I made it kind of half-heartedly tonight.. Regardless, I'm SKIPPING the VP vs Dig game, first T1 in a while after todays results I will actually be sitting out. All I can say is Virtus Pro didn't come anywhere near sealing the second map. If you've got some serious gambling fever, I'd probably point you in Dignitas' direction at this exact moment, but the risk is EXTREME on this matchup. The DDOS occured, the upset was real as predicted (hence why odds were dropped).
BigRedYo 20 Oct, 2014 @ 12:04pm 
Hey guys, I just want to add now this upcoming week may have some action, but many of these games will be HIGH RISK games. We have upcoming games for the FragBite Final 6 soon, in addition to a Hitbox game every week and I believe a few upcoming tournaments.

If you want action, I will give my best advice in my articles as usual, but I cannot be held responsible for any skins you gamble, especially if you follow it blindly (make sure to do your own research as well, I need to sleep a bit as well, so I may miss an update, such as linking my placed bet today on Virtus Pro [$4], due to what I had to run on which was basically statistics and match history). As noted, I will attempt to see who gambled to find whether this should be considered a Skip in our book, or put down as the 15th streak game (assuming a bit early VP wins).
BigRedYo 19 Oct, 2014 @ 4:51pm 
Assuming readers skipped the Titan vs Na'Vi game as I advised, we're 14 for 14 on a Win Streak as a group, and a total of two skipped games due to possible upsets which I have to admit is pretty damn accurate, including 3 TBD team games and their outcome before the bracket was even updated! (I've made a few low personal bets on the unadvised games, and was absolutely correct in my assumptions for others to skip, which will be highlighted later!)

May the odds be in your favor.... Good luck, and make sure to read up! I won't be giving tips via Steam Chat (hey, I'm busy too), which is why the Discussion Posts exist and are already pre-made as best as I can. It's difficult to answer multiple peoples questions about a lot of hypotheticals, espcially since the maps alone are TBD!
BigRedYo 19 Oct, 2014 @ 4:49pm 
As CS:GO Lounge is down and I didn't get to take a proper screenshot, (They seem to be taking Nightly Routine Maintenances now), I wasn't able to catch the exact team matchups for tomorrow other then the VP vs Dignitas game. I may try to cover them in an additional update, but if i'm correct, they were more lower tier/new teams that I know little about. As I've stated before, I don't want to risk anyones bets- especially on teams I've never see or heard, so I'd advise on skipping any games I didn't add sometime later this evening (assuming Lounge comes back up soon).

I believe the teams were all in s CSL tournament, and as I said before, I don't know any of them so I personally will be skipping them unless I find some decent information. Otherwise, make sure to check out the Virtus Pro vs Dignitas discussion for now. :smile:
BigRedYo 18 Oct, 2014 @ 3:00pm 
3 for 3 today! We are currently at a group 12 streak!

Here's a screenshot to prove it, and I've also linked my bets as well around the discussion posts so you know its not chump change. PLEASE NOTE: The ONLY loss was due to my own personal bet as mentioned before. I advised readers to skip the LDLC vs Fnatic game as I had a feeling it would be a 50-50 game/possibly upsetting game.

http://gyazo.com/4c69ff0aec7f9b11eb674bd8b0e9d5d7
BigRedYo 18 Oct, 2014 @ 8:36am 
Other ways you can support me would be by simply following my Twitch channel ( Twitch.tv/BigRedYo ) or DayZed for creating the group in the first place ( Twitch.tv/DayZedHero ). I seldom stream, but the follows always help! Maybe I'll surprise some people with a game and live commentary on games at times, but can't promise anything special to stream until I get a new PC which may be a while.

I also have a Paypal & a Bitcoin donation link on my Twitch channel if you REALLY love my advice (and prefer not to donate skins). As always, donations are greatly appreciated, but not currently necessary. As followers grow, the group will have more to offer. Stay tuned! :smile:
BigRedYo 18 Oct, 2014 @ 6:53am 
Please Note: Please check Discussions before asking about outlooks!

As previously mentioned, I will be trying to update with daily games and updates. I also have been sending Gyazo (Direct links + Bet links) to donators at the moment. Make sure to check back daily if you intend on gambling on a daily basis, though future advice should still be relatively helpful regardless if you decide to skip for a bit.
BigRedYo 16 Oct, 2014 @ 6:53pm 
Just some quick things to note, Achievement wise since we created this small group:
- Currently 9 for 9 Wins (100% ratio) on advice, 1 Personal Loss due to a (Personal) Bet on a Risky game I advised readers to skip.

-Had a follower who wanted to complete his gun collection- I gave him advice, and he cashed out with an M4A1-S Cyrex ($60 skin) in 3 bets to complete the collection.:dollars::dollars::dollars:

-75%~ Win Ratio or so overall (This is due to minimal bets on possible upset games, I advise others when and if I am betting against the odds and give my reasoning why). Not every favored team will win keep in mind, and my gambling knowledge wasn't anywhere near the current status I'm at now when I first started.

Any new information and matchups will probably be under Discussions in the future, or released via my Match Updates (in Gyazo links). I try to send out updates as often as possible.
BigRedYo 16 Oct, 2014 @ 6:38pm 
Hey guys. I was kind of surprised this group ended up being created to be honest! Regardless, I'm here to offer my best advice and outlook on games as I catch a decent amount of them, note statistics & gameplay on maps for teams (etc). Any donations are greatly appreciated, normally 10%, or what you would consider fair on your winnings, though I'd prefer to not say commission as some people are just starting out and by no means are obligated to do so. Donations just help support me in the end which of course I can't say I appreciate enough! I'll be updating with more content soon as games come along and trying new layouts.

P.S- Tomorrows games are mostly Country based teams, and the only game I'd feel secure betting on would be Titan (on Titan vs Epsilon). However, the odd's are currently WAY too high in favor of Titan to get a decent payout.

Current Record since I started giving advice: 9 Win streak, broken only by a game I advised everyone else to skip. (Personal bet) Good luck!